Conservative Intelligence

Conservative Intelligence

This site is currently down for maintenance and should be back soon.

Members Post Autumn Statement Q&A

Event date: 30 November

Last Updated: Wednesday, November 30th, 2011

ConservativeIntelligence Members were invited to a Post Autumn Statement briefing and Q&A.

The ConHome team, together with James Forsyth, Political Editor of The Spectator, and Andrew Lilico of Europe Economics,  reviewed the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement and the impact of current measures being taken by the Government, along with other topics.

Here is Tim’s survey of 1,340 Tory members on George Osborne’s Autumn Statement:

AGREE/ DISAGREE ON AUTUMN STATEMENT

George Osborne would have been more radical if it hadn’t been for the Liberal Democrats

Agree 69%, Disagree 19%

I would have preferred the Coalition to have cut taxes rather than spend money on new schemes for housing, jobs and childcare

Agree 57%, Disagree 33%

The investment in infrastructure is good news for long-term health of UK economy

Agree 76%, Disagree 15%

George Osborne should have cut spending faster and used the money to cut taxes

Agree 66%, Disagree 24%

There is nothing that George Osborne can do that will stop shield Britain from the problems of the Eurozone

Agree 55%, Disagree 38%

George Osborne did the best he could in his Autumn Statement, given the circumstances

Agree 63%, Disagree 30%

It is wrong that benefits are rising by 5.2% while workers’ pay is frozen or falling

Agree 69%, Disagree 23%

This is a Government that exudes more determination than imagination

Agree 52%, Disagree 30%

The truth is that the Coalition has failed to cut public spending sufficiently

Agree 70%, Disagree 22%

Britain and Europe will only start to recover when the Euro is broken up

Agree 62%, Disagree 26%

The Chancellor played a difficult hand with skill

Agree 66%, Disagree 24%

It is simply unfair for public sector workers to expect to receive unchanged pensions largely funded by workers whose own retirement provision is not nearly as generous

Agree 93%, Disagree 6%

It was right that the Chancellor trimmed aid spending by £525 million

Agree 91%, Disagree 6%

The Chancellor should have abolished the 50p tax band

Agree 53%, Disagree 36%

The best thing the Government can do for business is to keep interest rates low

Agree 71%, Disagree 9%

The forecasts for economic growth announced by the Chancellor are trustworthy

Agree 41%, Disagree 31%

If the Euro collapses that is the best moment for George Osborne to come forward with radical and emergency reforms

Agree 80%, Disagree 12%

The Chancellor has declared class war: a Tory assault on the public sector and the poor

Agree 6%, Disagree 89%

 

**************

WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING WILL BE ACHIEVED BY THE END OF THE PARLIAMENT?

The Universal Benefit will have been introduced and it will pay for people to leave welfare and take a job

57% yes, 26% no

Retired people will enjoy fair pensions from the state

47% yes, 37% no

Britain’s schools will be much closer to world class standards

48% yes, 41% no

Britain will be growing at a reasonably healthy rate

37% yes, 43% no

Conservatives will be in an election-winning position

33% yes, 30% no

The deficit will be back under control

29% yes, 58% no

Britain will be on the verge of repatriating significant powers from Europe

21% yes, 64% no

Net immigration will be cut from the hundreds of the thousands to the tens of thousands

15% yes, 74% no

From the Conservative Intelligence member's site

Miliband’s Threat To Outside Earnings May Drive Tory Mps Over The Edge

Conservative MPs are capable of a wide range of emotions, encompassing the normal human set and then a few extras thrown in. Pride, injured pride, confidence, optimism, crushing depression, panic, fury, resentment, contentment, ambition, resignation, triumph and a host of others are within their repertoire. Even at the best of times, a healthy parliamentary party […]

Cameron Woos Mrs Rochester

“There’s no stunts or backroom deals, just a strong local candidate you can trust.” So wrote David Cameron in a letter sent this week to every voter in Rochester and Strood, where the next UKIP-engineered by-election is to take place towards the end of November.  At the end of it, he made the point again […]

To Respond To Defeat In Clacton, The Tories Will Need A Tougher Immigration Policy

Everyone expected the UKIP candidate, Douglas Carswell, to win in Clacton, but few people thought he would win by the enormous margin of 12,404 votes. An exceptionally rude kick has been administered to David Cameron. It is not much consolation for the Conservatives that a scarcely less rude kick has been administered to Ed Miliband […]

The Tories Leave Birmingham With A New-Found Confidence

No-one knew quite what to expect when the Conservative family gathered in Birmingham on Sunday. Mark Reckless had just delivered the second UKIP defection blow in as many months, and Brooks Newmark’s indiscretions were causing embarrassment (though less existential questions for the party). If anything, observers might have expected a depressed conference mood. Instead, though, […]

21 People To Watch As Next Week’s Conservative Conference Looms

1. Those two MP defectors to UKIP – if, of course, they exist at all.  If so, they will presumably turn up on Saturday evening.  If they don’t, the media will treat this as a further sign that the Party isn’t grown-up, since it talked but didn’t deliver.   2. George Osborne. The Conservative election […]

Will Cameron Go Fast And Slow On Devolution All-Around?

The Prime Minister announced this morning that more devolution for Scotland and reform elsewhere – specifically, action on English votes for English laws – will take place “in tandem” and “at the same pace”.  Draft legislation will be “published by January”. His statement opens up two possible outcomes. The first is that he pushes for […]

Whatever The Result, The Scottish Referendum Has Killed Blair’s Devolution Settlement

The Scottish referendum result is up in the air – polls swing from No to Yes and back again, all within the margin of error. The rush from Westminster to Scotland, not only of the party leaders but of scores of Labour MPs, demonstrates how seriously the prospect of a Yes result is being taken. […]

Two Conservative Scenarios If Scotland Votes Yes

Scenario One: David Cameron does not resign as Prime Minister (or as Conservative leader).  Nor does any member of the Cabinet other than Alistair Carmichael, the Liberal Democrat Scottish Secretary.  The Coalition hangs together.  The Conservative Parliamentary Party rallies round its leader. UKIP’s attempt to provoke an English nationalist backlash comes to nothing.  Perhaps unexpectedly, […]

Cameron’s Ability To Neutralise Opponents Is Brilliantly Illustrated By His Handling Of The New Surveillance Law

David Cameron will always do what the Establishment considers to be prudent.  The Data Retention and Investigatory Powers Bill, sprung upon the Cabinet on Thursday morning, is a case in point. Cameron has been told by the security services that these powers are needed. He has therefore set out to square Nick Clegg and Ed […]

Why Critical Headlines About Donor Dinners Raise A Smile In Downing Street

In politics, as with so many things, it’s tempting to judge a book by its cover. The personalities, the catchphrases, the emotional and cultural baggage carried by politicians and parties all compete for our attention. They’re important, of course, but they’re only one part of the political process. The showbiz elements often distract people from […]