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The Politics Of Terror – Cameron’s Reaction To Woolwich

The Woolwich atrocity requires a political response which David Cameron is well-fitted to provide. As the Prime Minister observed when he spoke in a wind-swept Downing Street: “The people who did this were trying to divide us.” The murderers of Drummer Lee Rigby announced that they wished to “start a war”. Cameron’s task is to [...]

A Managed Break-Up Of The Coalition?

In September 2014, the party conference season will be a few weeks away, and the general election only six months distant – assuming, of course, that this Parliament is still sitting: the Fixed Terms Parliament Act makes it very likely that this will be the case. Let us also suppose that this Coalition Government is [...]

A Good Week For The Backbenches

Unsurprisingly, the run-up to the Queen’s Speech was dominated by analysis and debate spurred by the local election results. Everyone expected more robust language on the EU issue from senior Conservatives as a form of reputational first aid to staunch the wounds inflicted by Nigel Farage. Few would have predicted Lord Lawson’s decision to announce [...]

The Issue Blighting Cameron’s Prospect Is Nationhood

As I write these words, many of the local election results are not yet in, but already it is obvious that UKIP has triumphed. It has done so because it conveys a sense of British patriotism none of the conventional parties can match. John Bull would far rather drink a pint of beer with Nigel [...]

The View From CCHQ

I was very heavily briefed by senior sources from Downing Street yesterday, and the result can be seen on ConservativeHome this morning. One of the three big claims made by Number 10 is that it senses “a bit of a feel of ’91” – the year before John Major’s surprise election victory against the odds. [...]

Why Merkel Needs Cameron: Their Alliance Of Convenience

Margaret Thatcher is dead, yet the House of Commons is more Thatcherite than it has ever been. She inspired many members of the exceptionally gifted 2010 Tory intake to go into politics. Like her, these new MPs believe in the nation state – the belief which precipitated her downfall in 1990, by which time her [...]

The Reason Why Cameron Steered Clear Of This Week’s Welfare Scrap

Tim Montgomerie suggested earlier this week that David Cameron should lead from the front on welfare reform – that he should, perhaps, visit a family in smaller accommodation than they need, in order to make the point that housing benefit shouldn’t support other people in larger accommodation than they need. Instead, this week’s leading from [...]

Did The Budget Do Enough To See Off The Anti-Cameron Plotters?

In 2011-12, Britain’s deficit was £121 billion. This year, the Office for Budget Responsibility says that it will be £85 billion – the figure that George Osborne uses to support his claim that the deficit has fallen by over a quarter. But that £85 billion figure isn’t the only one that the OBR cites. It [...]

To Date, Cameron Has Been Able To Rely On The Loyalty Of His Cabinet. The Significance Of This Week’s Events Is That It Can Longer Be Taken For Granted.

I have rarely known a stranger week in the Westminster Village. It began with speculation about whether Theresa May had broken ranks with Downing Street that she had briefed the Mail on Sunday that she wants Britain out of the ECHR…and with speculation that Philip Hammond had also cut loose from Downing Street by arguing [...]

No, Eastleigh Isn’t Just Another By-Election. It Shows How The Odds Are Stacked Against Cameron For 2015.

Let’s stand back from the micro-detail of yesterday’s Eastleigh by-election result – such as the role of the candidates or the parties’ campaign machines – look at the macro-picture, and ask ourselves what light it casts, if any, on the likely outcome of the next election. David Cameron has two means of gaining the majority [...]

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